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Commodity Trader Latest Posts

The Golden Path
The Gold market during the past seven months has truly been incredible. Flash back to mid-September 2007 and you will find Gold trading in the $680.00 range, while six months later in mid-March '08 it was trading $1,030. The Gold rally had been fueled, in part, by the apparently... Read more...
Published 2 weeks ago

New Year Market Analysis
As the New Year approaches the typical topic of discussion is to prognosticate, predict, and further espouse a view of what the future will bring. Our view is not a pretty view, well, certainly not in the short-term, but a view that becomes somewhat less gloomy as the year 2008 progresses.... Read more...
Published 4 months ago

Coffee Bulls Have Upside Technical Momentum
March coffee futures are in a six-week-old uptrend on the daily bar chart and hit a fresh nine-week high of 136.00 cents on Wednesday. Coffee bulls do have upside near-term technical momentum and are looking for more on the upside in the near term. See, too, that the shorter-term moving averages... Read more...
Published 5 months ago

BM&F's IPO
The Brazilian Mercantile & Futures Exchange-BM&F SA ended its Initial Public Offering (IPO) process with the participation of 260,946 investors. All of the 299,184,846 common shares offered to the market were sold. This figure includes 39.02 million common shares to cover over-allotments. The IPO... Read more...
Published 5 months ago

Option Queen Letter
On Friday December 14, 2007 ICE Futures US, announced that the open-out-cry markets, for all but a hand full of futures contracts, will end removing the trades to cyber-space. Yes, options will continue to trade on the floor in open-out-cry, but futures will be gone from the pits. While we... Read more...
Published 5 months ago

O&F Forex News
Last weeks FOMC report came out within the expectations. As we forecasted, it turned out to be good for the Dollar. We have now seen significant moves in the Dollar against all of the majors. This Week we are expecting a small near term pullback in the Dollar which we will use to add to our... Read more...
Published 5 months ago

Crude Oil Breaking Down; Commodity Bulls Beware
January crude oil futures on Thursday hit a fresh six-week low and traded below $86.00 a barrel. The market has taken a haircut to the tune of around $14.00 a barrel from the all-time high above $99.00 scored a couple weeks ago. Serious near-term technical damage has been inflicted to suggest... Read more...
Published 5 months ago

U.S. Dollar Trying to Recover; More Work Yet
The U.S. dollar index is an excellent barometer for monitoring the overall health of the U.S. dollar as it trades against the other major currencies. The March dollar index futures hit a fresh all-time low last month, and a downtrend line is still in place on the daily bar chart. See on the daily... Read more...
Published 5 months ago

Golden Swings
The volatility in the commodity markets has been tremendous and in my opinion can be traced to several factors. These factors include such items as high energy prices, the ongoing mortgage debacle and ensuing credit crunch, the possibility of future rate cuts, and geo-political tensions, just to... Read more...
Published 5 months ago

Coffee Futures Month End Adjustments
Coffee prices remained confined to a 150 point range on what amounted to an inside day Thursday. Traders processed the meaning of the previous two days, Tuesday reversal and Wednesday sharp gain. I expect funds to be supportive if not encouraged to add to their long positions on Friday... And... Read more...
Published 5 months ago

U.S. T-Bond Bulls Still Technically Strong
The volatility in the U.S. Treasury markets heated up this week, as new contract highs were notched on Monday, followed by solid losses on Tuesday and Wednesday. However, price action Thursday morning found the bulls making a counter-attack and having success. Price action Thursday morning was... Read more...
Published 5 months ago

Gold Makes Strong Rebound; Bulls Again Powerful
The gold futures market recently backed off sharply from the early-November contract and 27-year high of $848 an ounce. Profit-taking pressure was featured. The past few trading sessions have seen the precious yellow metal in a solid price rebound as the bulls have regained fresh upside technical... Read more...
Published 6 months ago